About five years ago, no film studio can’ even think about releasing a movie in the “dead” months of the year which are January, February, and the month of October. It just not the path they want to take. Common box office records dictated more popular releases over the summer and at Christmas to get the best chance to make money while using the aforementioned calendar openings as release dates for troubled films. Yet now recent box office hit such as Glass which was released in January, Black Panther and Deadpool both are released and become a major hit in the month of February, Venom, and Joker released in October have started to change that paradigm. Studios are frequently looking at the full size of the calendar year as an adequate opportunity to release a movie now.
The Oscars race has thus transformed into a year-round battle as the regular fall/winter awards race has grown. Best picture nominees such as Get Out released in February, Mad Max: Fury Road released in May and Dunkirk which was released in the month of July have premiered the eyes of studio execs to the full year-round potential of zeitgeist-capturing movies. We’re still good three months away from the 92nd Academy Awards, and already a bunch of front-runners has appeared for the 2020 Oscars. And we have a list of front-runners which are likely candidates for this year’s Oscars.
Major new movies by Oscar mainstays Martin Scorsese and Quentin Tarantino front this race for now, but a South Korean critical acclaimed and a surprise TIFF People’s Choice winner Parasite add lots of excitement. Early Little Women results are strong, Clint Eastwood’s latest could be a late-breaker, and the work behind Sam Mendes’ 1917 could it the winner at the box office and at the Oscars — many fans and critics of the industry agree that Phoenix performance as the Joker was memorable and stands by a long shot as the favorite to win the Academy Award Best Actor with odds at -225 as per SportsBettingDime but in a period where voting ends in January, is its release date is too late?
Renée Zellweger is a certain candidate to get a nomination for her transformation in “Judy” and Adam Driver looks quite positive to be a nominee for his role in Noah Baumbach’s “Marriage Story.” The lead role for the best picture is films including “The Irishman,” “Once Upon a Time in Hollywood,” “Joker” and “Parasite.”
Jennifer Lopez has a very good chance to get her first nomination for her role in “Hustlers.” Margot Robbie could be J. Lo’s rival for the Oscar for her roles as the Aussie actor’s work in “Bombshell” and Blockbuster “Once Upon a Time in Hollywood.”
But it’s only November and there is still some time left. A lot could happen in now and last Oscar voting in January. No one has seen Sam Mendes’ “1917” as of yet and I think it is going to be a blast and a major contender for the race, but time will tell, “Cats” is still not released yet. They could be real contenders, but for now, we have to wait.
Here is a list of nominations most critics agreed upon:
Leading the Charge:
In the Hunt:
We have to wait and see: Little Women, Dark Waters, 1917, Richard Jewell and Cats
Leading the Charge:
In the Hunt:
Leading the Charge:
In the Hunt:
Leading the Charge:
In the Hunt:
Leading the Charge:
In the Hunt:
Leading the Charge:
In the Hunt: